{"id":14941,"date":"2020-03-31T09:42:25","date_gmt":"2020-03-31T07:42:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/kako-ce-se-ekonomija-promeniti-tokom-pandemije-covid-19\/"},"modified":"2020-04-01T10:11:08","modified_gmt":"2020-04-01T08:11:08","slug":"kako-ce-se-ekonomija-promeniti-tokom-pandemije-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/hr\/kako-ce-se-ekonomija-promeniti-tokom-pandemije-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Kako c\u0301e se ekonomija promeniti tokom pandemije COVID-19?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u010cak i krajem pro\u0161le godine analiti\u010dari su vjerovali da \u0107e tr\u017ei\u0161ni udjeli u nastajanju imati koristi od rje\u0161enja trgovinskih sporova i kineskih impulsa monetarne politike i sna\u017eno \u0107e rasti. Europske akcije bi zauzvrat trebale imati ve\u0107u \u010ditljivost Brexita i nade u \u201ezelenu\u201c ekonomsku politiku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Korona virus donosi nove slu\u010dajeve u pogledu ekonomske aktivnosti<\/h2>\n\n

Kao i obi\u010dno, ova pandemija utje\u010de na njenu ukupnu opskrbu. Stoga je te\u0161ko nositi se s njegovim u\u010dincima pomo\u0107u standardnih makroekonomskih instrumenata. Pandemija COVID-19 izazvat \u0107e recesiju u svjetskoj ekonomiji ove godine, \u0161to bi moglo biti gore od financijske krize 2008. i 2009. godine. Financijska tr\u017ei\u0161ta sada ra\u010dunaju na vjerojatnost da \u0107e virus imati ekonomske posljedice nakon prvog tromjese\u010dja 2020. godine Vidjet \u0107emo i lokalne epidemije infekcije sli\u010dne onima u Italiji i \u0160panjolskoj i drugim zemljama, koje privremeno naru\u0161avaju ekonomske odnose. Istodobno \u0107e se morati odgoditi pregovori o Brexitu zbog koronavirusa, \u0161to \u0107e tako\u0111er donekle pokvariti ekonomiju.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"
BROJ ZARA\u017dENIH (izvor: GLOBAL CAPITAL<\/a>)<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Virus je prvi pogodio Kinu, koja je u svjetskom gospodarstvu ekvivalentna zemljama Organizacije zemalja izvoznica nafte (OPEC) u proizvodnom sektoru. Proizvo\u0111a\u010di \u0161irom svijeta oslanjaju se na dijelove i dijelove proizvedene u Kini. Iako se \u010dini da je epidemija u ovoj zemlji depresivna, kineska se proizvodnja jo\u0161 uvijek nije vratila na prvobitnu razinu. Virus je zahvatio i druge azijske zemlje (Japan, Koreju, Singapur) koje su usko uklju\u010dene u globalne proizvodne lance. Posljednjih dana broj novoinficiranih u SAD-u znatno se pove\u0107ao, a Njema\u010dka i Francuska imaju sli\u010dna kretanja. Stoga vi\u0161e ne govorimo samo o kineskom problemu. Italija i \u0160panjolska i ostale europske zemlje su na prvom mjestu.<\/p>\n\n

Europska centralna banka \u0107e pomo\u0107i<\/h2>\n\n

Organizacija za ekonomsku suradnju i razvoj (OECD) procjenjuje da bi, ako se pandemija ograni\u010di na Kinu i nekoliko drugih zemalja, rast svjetskih proizvoda ove godine opao za oko 0,5%. Ali ako se pandemija pro\u0161iri na sjevernu hemisferu, utjecaj bi mogao biti i do 1,5%, od \u010dega \u0107e ve\u0107ina i\u0107i na ukupnu opskrbu.<\/p>\n\n

\u201eUpravno vije\u0107e \u0107e u okviru svog mandata u\u010diniti sve \u0161to je potrebno. Po potrebi se program nabave mo\u017ee dodatno pove\u0107ati. Spremni smo ubla\u017eiti neka ograni\u010denja kupnje obveznica, \u0161to bi trebalo pomo\u0107i zemljama poput Italije, gdje su ti prihodi imali brzi rast kao rezultat \u0161irenja novog virusa.”<\/p>

– Europska centralna banka<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

Naravno, Rim je preuzeo najzna\u010dajnija ograni\u010denja, gdje je dosad broj \u017ertava bolesti bio svaki dan ve\u0107i nego prethodnog dana. \u0160kole, ustanove, kao i sve trgovine osim hrane, ljekarne i odabrane drogerije su zatvorene. Sli\u010dne mjere su postupno uvele i druge europske zemlje. Isto se odnosi na zabranu putovanja iz schengenskog podru\u010dja u Sjedinjene Dr\u017eave. Stopa smrtnosti tako\u0111er sugerira da Italija, \u0160panjolska i Velika Britanija imaju mnogo vi\u0161e slu\u010dajeva nego \u0161to su ih uspjeli potvrditi i prijaviti.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"
BROJ UMRLIH (izvor: GLOBAL CAPITAL<\/a>)<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Italija, \u0160panjolska i Velika Britanija imaju znatno vi\u0161u stopu smrtnosti, \u0161to mo\u017ee biti posljedica neadekvatnog testiranja. To istodobno mo\u017ee odra\u017eavati kombinaciju prezauzetog zdravstvenog sustava i nedovoljnog prijavljivanja slu\u010dajeva.<\/p>\n\n

Uloga fiskalne politike bit \u0107e poticanje potra\u017enje, kao \u0161to to Hong Kong \u010dini ve\u0107 izravnim financijskim injekcijama. Monetarna politika bi zauzvrat trebala nastojati sprije\u010diti da financijski uvjeti za poduze\u0107a postanu te\u017ei. Kasna reakcija sredi\u0161njih banaka mo\u017ee pove\u0107ati rizik od deflacije, \u0161to je vrlo osjetljivo pitanje, posebno u zemljama u razvoju.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cak i krajem pro\u0161le godine analiti\u010dari su vjerovali da \u0107e tr\u017ei\u0161ni udjeli u nastajanju imati koristi od rje\u0161enja trgovinskih sporova i kineskih impulsa monetarne politike i sna\u017eno \u0107e rasti. Europske akcije bi zauzvrat trebale imati ve\u0107u \u010ditljivost Brexita i nade u \u201ezelenu\u201c ekonomsku politiku.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":14827,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[152,175],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\nKako c\u0301e se ekonomija promeniti tokom pandemije COVID-19? - Atena blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/hr\/kako-ce-se-ekonomija-promeniti-tokom-pandemije-covid-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hr_HR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kako c\u0301e se ekonomija promeniti tokom pandemije COVID-19? - Atena blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u010cak i krajem pro\u0161le godine analiti\u010dari su vjerovali da \u0107e tr\u017ei\u0161ni udjeli u nastajanju imati koristi od rje\u0161enja trgovinskih sporova i kineskih impulsa monetarne politike i sna\u017eno \u0107e rasti. 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