{"id":14017,"date":"2019-12-11T15:59:10","date_gmt":"2019-12-11T14:59:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/milyen-hatassal-van-a-4-ipari-forradalom-a-munkaeropiacra\/"},"modified":"2020-03-02T11:03:15","modified_gmt":"2020-03-02T10:03:15","slug":"milyen-hatassal-van-a-4-ipari-forradalom-a-munkaeropiacra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/hu\/milyen-hatassal-van-a-4-ipari-forradalom-a-munkaeropiacra\/","title":{"rendered":"Milyen hat\u00e1ssal van a 4. ipari forradalom a munkaer\u0151piacra?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A digitaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 megv\u00e1ltoztatja a munka vil\u00e1g\u00e1t \u00e9s a szok\u00e1sokat az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 \u00e9vekben. Azonban ez a v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s sz\u00e1mos kock\u00e1zatot is mag\u00e1ban hordoz a dolgoz\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra. Egy friss elemz\u00e9s szerint sz\u00e1mos lehet\u0151s\u00e9get is jelenthet sz\u00e1mukra. A t\u00e1rsadalom k\u00e9szen \u00e1ll erre?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 4. ipari forradalom \u00f3ri\u00e1si hat\u00e1ssal lesz a glob\u00e1lis munkaer\u0151piacra. A g\u00e9pek \u00e9s a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia szerepe n\u00f6vekedni fog az iparban. V\u00e1rhat\u00f3an 2025-re az emberi munkaer\u0151 ar\u00e1nya 71%-r\u00f3l 58%-ra fog zuhanni. Ami a m\u00faltban megt\u00f6rt\u00e9nt a technol\u00f3giai forradalmak alkalm\u00e1val, \u00fajra megism\u00e9tl\u0151dik. A jelenlegi csak \u00fctem\u00e9ben \u00e9s m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9ben fog k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6zni eddig p\u00e9ld\u00e1tlanul a t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelemben. <\/p>\n\n

Ember kontra g\u00e9p<\/h2>\n\n

A munkaer\u0151piaci k\u00f6rnyezet dr\u00e1mai v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokon esett \u00e1t az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben. A termel\u00e9s \u00e9s a szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sok n\u00f6vekv\u0151 robotiz\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1t a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 fejl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9vel egy\u00fctt a munkahelyek gyilkos\u00e1nak \u00e9s a munkaer\u0151 megf\u00e9leml\u00edt\u00e9si eszk\u00f6z\u00e9nek is tartj\u00e1k. A rugalmas munka t\u00f6bb munk\u00e1t jelenthet, ami pedig stresszt \u00e9s eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi probl\u00e9m\u00e1kat id\u00e9zhet el\u0151. Erre vonatkoz\u00f3an a v\u00e1laszad\u00f3k 78%-a jelezte, hogy a digitaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 a munkaterhel\u00e9s n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t okozza sz\u00e1mukra. F\u00e9lnek az elv\u00e1rt termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9g emelked\u00e9s\u00e9t\u0151l. Ez\u00e9rt az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 4. ipari forradalom a lehet\u0151s\u00e9gek mellett kock\u00e1zatokat is hordoz mag\u00e1ban. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
AZ AUTOMATIZ\u00c1L\u00c1S M\u00c9RT\u00c9KE<\/strong> (forr\u00e1s: Trend<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Az \u00faj technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k tov\u00e1bbra is \u00faj lehet\u0151s\u00e9geket teremtenek a munkaer\u0151piacon. Hab\u00e1r 70 milli\u00f3 \u00e1ll\u00e1s teljesen \u00e1talakul vagy megsz\u0171nik, tov\u00e1bbi 133 milli\u00f3 \u00faj munkahely fog v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an megoszlani a g\u00e9pek \u00e9s az emberek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt. Egy felm\u00e9r\u00e9s szerint a glob\u00e1lis v\u00e1llalatok csaknem 40%-a felt\u00e9telezi, hogy az automatiz\u00e1l\u00e1snak \u00e9s az \u00faj technol\u00f3gi\u00e1knak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en \u00faj munkapoz\u00edci\u00f3k jelennek meg, a sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3g\u00e9pek \u00e9s robotok pedig a jelenlegi \u00e1ll\u00e1sok ak\u00e1r 60%-\u00e1t \u00e1tvehetik. A 4. ipari forradalomnak meglesznek a gy\u0151ztesei, akik profit\u00e1lnak bel\u0151le, valamint a vesztesei is.<\/p>\n\n

\u201eA munka j\u00f6v\u0151je a kez\u00fcnkben van, \u00e9s nagy m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben f\u00fcgg az orsz\u00e1gok politikai d\u00f6nt\u00e9seit\u0151l. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9sekkel a digit\u00e1lis \u00e9s technol\u00f3giai v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok kihaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1ra \u00e9s az akad\u00e1lyok lek\u00fczd\u00e9s\u00e9re megteremtett k\u00e9pess\u00e9g\u00fcnk f\u00fcggv\u00e9ny\u00e9ben lesz\u00fcnk sikeresek vagy sikertelenek.\u201d<\/p>

\u2013 Gazdas\u00e1gi Egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9si \u00e9s Fejleszt\u00e9si Szervezet<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

A robotiz\u00e1l\u00e1s ter\u00e9n N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g j\u00e1r \u00e9len. <\/h2>\n\n

Az internet k\u00e9pezi az ipari forradalom alapj\u00e1t. A repetit\u00edv feladatokat g\u00e9pek veszik \u00e1t, az emberek pedig a kreat\u00edv munk\u00e1kat fogj\u00e1k v\u00e9gezni. A g\u00e9pek k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kommunik\u00e1ci\u00f3 a gy\u00e1rakban gyorsan n\u00f6veli a termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9get \u00e9s v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st hoz az ipar sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra. A k\u00e9sz\u00fcl\u00e9keket nem egy adott m\u0171velet elv\u00e9gz\u00e9s\u00e9re \u00fczemelik be, hanem alkalmazkodnak a k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 k\u00f6vetelm\u00e9nyekhez. A g\u00e9pek alkalmazkod\u00f3k\u00e9pess\u00e9ge bevonja az \u00fcgyfeleket a termel\u00e9si folyamatba. A k\u00e9sz\u00fcl\u00e9kek m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9nek \u00e9s haszn\u00e1lat\u00e1nak rugalmass\u00e1ga a termel\u00e9si k\u00f6lts\u00e9gek hirtelen cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9t id\u00e9zi el\u0151. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
AZ IPARI ROBOTOK N\u00d6VEKED\u00c9SE <\/strong>(forr\u00e1s: IFR World Robotics<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Ha a termel\u00e9s robotiz\u00e1l\u00e1sa val\u00f3ban puszt\u00edtan\u00e1 az \u00e1ll\u00e1sokat, akkor p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul Jap\u00e1nnak, D\u00e9l-Kore\u00e1nak vagy N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gnak apokaliptikus munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9ggel kellene szemben\u00e9znie. N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g a robotiz\u00e1l\u00e1s eur\u00f3pai vezet\u0151jek\u00e9nt jelenleg az elm\u00falt 25 \u00e9v legalacsonyabb munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9gi r\u00e1t\u00e1j\u00e1val b\u00fcszk\u00e9lkedhet annak ellen\u00e9re, hogy a robotok sz\u00e1ma N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1gban az \u00e1tlagosn\u00e1l nagyob m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben emelkedett. A Siemens gy\u00e1ra Aberg v\u00e1ros\u00e1ban 75%-ban automatiz\u00e1lt, \u00e9s emberi beavatkoz\u00e1sra \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban csak a berendez\u00e9sek telep\u00edt\u00e9sekor \u00e9s a termel\u00e9si folyamat egyes szakaszainak koordin\u00e1l\u00e1sakor van sz\u00fcks\u00e9g. Az eredm\u00e9ny a termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9g hirtelen n\u00f6veked\u00e9se, a hib\u00e1s term\u00e9kek val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ge pedig mind\u00f6ssze 0,0000115%. Szlov\u00e1kia is a robotiz\u00e1lts\u00e1g ter\u00e9n \u00e9len j\u00e1r\u00f3 orsz\u00e1gok egyike, \u00e9s az orsz\u00e1gunkban haszn\u00e1lt robotok sz\u00e1ma folyamatosan n\u00f6vekedik. Ugyanakkor a foglalkoztatotts\u00e1g is emelkedik. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
A ROBOTIZ\u00c1LTS\u00c1G M\u00c9RT\u00c9KE<\/strong> (forr\u00e1s: IFR World Robotics<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

A robotok termel\u00e9sben val\u00f3 haszn\u00e1lat\u00e1nak n\u00f6vekv\u0151 trendje a glob\u00e1lis \u00e9rt\u00e9kl\u00e1ncok t\u00e9rk\u00e9p\u00e9nek \u00fajrarajzol\u00e1si lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t hordozza mag\u00e1ban. A m\u00faltban a v\u00e1llalatok a termel\u00e9st a fejlett orsz\u00e1gokb\u00f3l a fejl\u0151d\u0151 orsz\u00e1gokba helyezt\u00e9k az olcs\u00f3 munkaer\u0151 miatt. Jelenleg a glob\u00e1lis v\u00e1llalatok k\u00f6z\u00fcl egyre t\u00f6bb egyedi p\u00e9lda, valamint empirikus tanulm\u00e1nyok is arra a t\u00e9nyre mutatnak, hogy a termel\u00e9st visszahelyezik a fejlett orsz\u00e1gokba.<\/p>\n\n

Mesters\u00e9ges intelligenci\u00e1val egy magasabb szintre<\/h2>\n\n

Annak biztos\u00edt\u00e1sa \u00e9rdek\u00e9ben, hogy a jelenlegi ipari forradalom tov\u00e1bbra is az iparosodott orsz\u00e1gok jav\u00e1t szolg\u00e1lja, az ipari v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1soknak, a korm\u00e1nyzati hivataloknak, a tud\u00f3soknak \u00e9s a szoci\u00e1lis partnereknek a sikeres 4. ipari forradalomhoz hasonl\u00f3 kezdem\u00e9nyez\u00e9seket kell kidolgozniuk. Ezt a glob\u00e1lis koncepci\u00f3t a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia fogja korszer\u0171s\u00edteni, mivel ezt a technol\u00f3gi\u00e1t a j\u00f6v\u0151ben mindenbe be fogj\u00e1k \u00e9p\u00edteni. T\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt az informatik\u00e1ba, a gy\u00e1rt\u00e1sba, az ipari gy\u00e1rak m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9be, a term\u00e9kekbe \u00e9s a szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sokba. Az ipari mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia a 4. ipari forradalmat egy magasabb szintre emelheti. <\/p>\n\n

\u201eA digit\u00e1lis \u00fczleti eszk\u00f6z\u00f6k egyre elterjedtebb\u00e9 v\u00e1lnak k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az aut\u00f3gy\u00e1rakban, ahol \u00e9get\u0151 az ig\u00e9ny a rugalmass\u00e1gra, az \u00fcgyfelek elv\u00e1r\u00e1saira val\u00f3 gyors reag\u00e1l\u00e1sra, a gy\u00e1rt\u00e1si id\u0151 ler\u00f6vid\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9re, a min\u0151s\u00e9g \u00e9s hat\u00e9konys\u00e1g n\u00f6vel\u00e9s\u00e9re. Minden percben egy \u00faj, elt\u00e9r\u0151 modell ker\u00fcl ki a gy\u00e1rt\u00f3szalagr\u00f3l, amely teljesen \u00faj k\u00f6vetelm\u00e9nyeket t\u00e1maszt az ir\u00e1ny\u00edt\u00e1si rendszerek sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra minden szinten. Tov\u00e1bb\u00e1 a digit\u00e1lis v\u00e1llalati technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k fokozatosan behatolnak m\u00e1s gy\u00e1rt\u00e1si ipar\u00e1gakba is.\u201d<\/p>

\u2013 Gazdas\u00e1gi Egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9si \u00e9s Fejleszt\u00e9si Szervezet<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

A Mannheimi Egyetem kutat\u00f3i szerint a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia az \u00e1ll\u00e1sok mind\u00f6ssze 9%-\u00e1t fenyegeti. Azonban az OECD felm\u00e9r\u00e9se szerint az \u00e9rt\u00e9k 14%-os, az Oxfordi Egyetem tud\u00f3sainak a tanulm\u00e1nyai pedig \u00fagy becs\u00fclik, hogy az \u00e1ll\u00e1sok 47%-\u00e1t vesz\u00e9lyezteti az automatiz\u00e1l\u00e1s. Csak tal\u00e1lgatni tudunk, hogy a leg\u00fajabb v\u00edvm\u00e1nyok a mesters\u00e9ges intelligencia \u00e9s robotok fejleszt\u00e9se ter\u00e9n milyen hat\u00e1ssal lesz a munkaer\u0151piacra. Az esem\u00e9nyek alakul\u00e1sa alapj\u00e1n az alacsony k\u00e9pzetts\u00e9ggel \u00e9s \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban alacsonyabb b\u00e9rrel rendelkez\u0151 ipari munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3k lesznek kit\u00e9ve legink\u00e1bb az automatiz\u00e1l\u00e1snak. Az OECD tanulm\u00e1nya szerint, amely nem tartalmaz demogr\u00e1fiai v\u00e1ltoz\u00f3kat, az \u00e1ll\u00e1sok automatiz\u00e1l\u00e1sra 6% (Norv\u00e9gia) \u00e9s 33% (Szlov\u00e1kia) k\u00f6z\u00f6tti \u00e9rt\u00e9kben lenne sz\u00fcks\u00e9g.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A digitaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 megv\u00e1ltoztatja a munka vil\u00e1g\u00e1t \u00e9s a szok\u00e1sokat az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 \u00e9vekben. Azonban ez a v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s sz\u00e1mos kock\u00e1zatot is mag\u00e1ban hordoz a dolgoz\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra. Egy friss elemz\u00e9s szerint sz\u00e1mos lehet\u0151s\u00e9get is jelenthet sz\u00e1mukra. A t\u00e1rsadalom k\u00e9szen \u00e1ll erre?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":10165,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[140,141],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\nMilyen hat\u00e1ssal van a 4. ipari forradalom a munkaer\u0151piacra? - Atena blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 4. ipari forradalom \u00f3ri\u00e1si hat\u00e1ssal lesz a glob\u00e1lis munkaer\u0151piacra. 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