{"id":28504,"date":"2020-01-08T13:11:45","date_gmt":"2020-01-08T12:11:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/kaip-brexit-paveiks-europos-sajungos-darbo-rinka\/"},"modified":"2022-08-26T11:51:37","modified_gmt":"2022-08-26T09:51:37","slug":"kaip-brexit-paveiks-europos-sajungos-darbo-rinka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/lt\/kaip-brexit-paveiks-europos-sajungos-darbo-rinka\/","title":{"rendered":"Kaip „Brexit” paveiks Europos S\u0105jungos darbo rink\u0105?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Po „Brexito”, kurio Europos S\u0105jungoje laukiame jau antrus metus, \u012fvyks dideli\u0173 poky\u010di\u0173 bendros prekybos, \u017emoni\u0173, preki\u0173 ir paslaug\u0173 jud\u0117jimo srityje. Ar „Brexit” bus naudingas darbdaviams? Kokios yra Did\u017eiosios Britanijos i\u0161stojimo i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos neigiamos ir teigiamos pus\u0117s? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Remiantis nauju tyrimu, „kietasis” „Brexitas”, t. y. Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s pasitraukimas i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos (ES) be susitarimo, labiausiai paveikt\u0173 Maltos, Airijos, Belgijos ir Slovakijos darbo rink\u0105. \u0160ios \u0161alys intensyviai kei\u010diasi prek\u0117mis ir paslaugomis su Did\u017ei\u0105ja Britanija. Jungtin\u0117 Karalyst\u0117 importuoja apie 38 proc. maisto produkt\u0173, o did\u017eioji dalis maisto produkt\u0173 importuojama i\u0161 ES. Ta\u010diau \u0161is atvirumas netrukus baigsis.<\/p>\n\n

Did\u017eiosios Britanijos pasitraukimas i\u0161 ES labiausiai paveiks \u017eem\u0117s \u016bk\u012f<\/h2>\n\n

Belgijos Leveno kataliki\u0161kojo universiteto atlikto tyrimo rezultatai rodo, kad galimas Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s pasitraukimas i\u0161 ES tur\u0117t\u0173 pra\u017e\u016bting\u0173 pasekmi\u0173 visos Europos ekonomikai. D\u0117l „Brexit” darbo gali netekti iki 1,2 mln. ten dirban\u010di\u0173 \u017emoni\u0173. Kadangi Europos rinka yra taip glaud\u017eiai susijusi, „Brexit” tur\u0117s \u012ftakos mums visiems. Grie\u017etas „Brexit’as” paveikt\u0173 skirtingus sektorius skirtingose \u0161alyse. Pavyzd\u017eiui, Brazilijoje ir Bulgarijoje labiausiai nukent\u0117t\u0173 \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkis, Vokietijoje ir \u010cekijoje – automobili\u0173 pramon\u0117, Belgijoje ir Austrijoje – ma\u017emenin\u0117 ir didmenin\u0117 prekyba. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
Neigiamas BREXIT poveikis ES eksportui<\/strong> (\u0161altinis: Funcas<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

„\u0160iandieniniame globalizuotame pasaulyje galima daryti prielaid\u0105, kad, jei tr\u016bkt\u0173 tam tikr\u0173 preki\u0173, rinkos erdv\u0119 daugeliu atvej\u0173 labai greitai u\u017epildyt\u0173 konkuruojanti pasi\u016bla i\u0161 ES \u0161ali\u0173 nari\u0173 arba lengvatinis importas.” <\/p>

– Ekonomikos reikal\u0173 ministerijos atstovas spaudai<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

Europos bendroji rinka grind\u017eiama laisvo preki\u0173, \u017emoni\u0173, paslaug\u0173 ir kapitalo jud\u0117jimo principu. Did\u017eiajai Britanijai i\u0161stojus i\u0161 ES, susitarimas nebebus taikomas. Jo pasitraukimas taps grandin\u0117s, kuri grei\u010diausiai t\u0119sis kelerius metus ir palaipsniui paveiks mus visus, prad\u017eia. Paradoksalu tai, kad „Brexit” paveiks darbo rink\u0105 ir pa\u010dius britus. Belgijoje atlikto tyrimo duomenimis, daugiau nei pus\u0117 milijono i\u0161 j\u0173 gali netekti darbo. \u017dinoma, tai tur\u0117s didel\u012f poveik\u012f ir kitoms Europos \u0161alims. Darbo gali netekti 291 000 vokie\u010di\u0173, 141 000 pranc\u016bz\u0173, 139 000 ital\u0173 ir 122 000 lenk\u0173. Be abejo, Britanijos i\u0161stojimas i\u0161 ES sukels nema\u017eai problem\u0173. <\/p>\n\n

Daugiau nei 1,2 mln. \u017emoni\u0173 neteks darbo<\/h2>\n\n

Daugelis analitik\u0173 prognozuoja, kad i\u0161stojus i\u0161 ES nedarbas Britanijoje, kuris \u0161iuo metu siekia apie 5 %, t. y. \u017eemiausi\u0105 lyg\u012f per pastaruosius 10 met\u0173, padid\u0117s. Ekonomikos sul\u0117t\u0117jimas taip pat tur\u0117s neigiam\u0105 poveik\u012f darbo u\u017emokes\u010diui. Did\u017eiosios Britanijos nacionalinis ekonomini\u0173 ir socialini\u0173 tyrim\u0173 institutas prognozuoja, kad iki 2030 m. i\u0161stojus i\u0161 ES realusis darbo u\u017emokestis bus 2,2-7 proc. ma\u017eesnis nei tuo atveju, jei Did\u017eioji Britanija b\u016bt\u0173 likusi bloko nare. Tai prie\u0161tarauja „Brexit” \u0161alinink\u0173 teiginiams, kad i\u0161stojus i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos darbo rinka bus dinami\u0161kesn\u0117, jei jai netrukdys Europos reglamentai.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"
PROJEKTINIAI NUOSTOLIAI<\/strong> (\u0161altinis: Funcas<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Referendumui \u012ftakos tur\u0117jo ir 2016 m. kilusi migracijos kriz\u0117. Vokietija nor\u0117jo spr\u0119sti kvot\u0173 ir migracijos kriz\u0117s problemas, pasitelkdama ES ir Turkijos veiksm\u0173 plan\u0105. Tai reik\u0161t\u0173 savanori\u0161k\u0105 migrant\u0173 i\u0161 Turkijos pri\u0117mim\u0105. Taip pat i\u0161kilo klausimas d\u0117l Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s i\u0161stojimo i\u0161 ES, nes, remiantis statistiniais duomenimis, Jungtin\u0117 Karalyst\u0117 per metus sulaukia daugiau migrant\u0173 nei bet kuri kita ES valstyb\u0117 nar\u0117 (\u012fskaitant Vokietij\u0105). Dar prie\u0161 oficialiai paskelbiant referendum\u0105 u\u017esienio bankai, turintys filial\u0173 Londone, prad\u0117jo skai\u010diuoti, kaip perkelti savo l\u0117\u0161as \u012f kit\u0105 Europos sostin\u0119.<\/p>\n\n

„\u0160iuo metu darbuotojai i\u0161 u\u017esienio sudaro svarbi\u0105 Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s ekonomikos dal\u012f, o darbo rinka trok\u0161ta naujos darbo j\u0117gos. Jei ne\u012fvyks katastrofinis nuosmukis, nebus didelio susidom\u0117jimo spr\u0119sti problemas esamiems darbuotojams, kad ir koks scenarijus susiklostyt\u0173.” <\/p>

– Ekonomin\u0117s ir socialin\u0117s analiz\u0117s instituto analitikas<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

„Kietojo” „Brexit” atveju Jungtin\u0117 Karalyst\u0117 netekt\u0173 daugiau kaip 1,2 mln. darbuotoj\u0173 i\u0161 visos Europos S\u0105jungos, kurie \u0161iuo metu joje dirba. \u0160is \u017eingsnis b\u016bt\u0173 did\u017eiulis sukr\u0117timas Did\u017eiosios Britanijos ekonomikai, galintis tur\u0117ti lemting\u0173 pasekmi\u0173. <\/p>\n\n

Did\u017eioji Britanija kaip tre\u010dioji \u0161alis<\/h2>\n\n

Pagal PPO (Pasaulio prekybos organizacijos) taisykles Did\u017eioji Britanija ateityje taip pat gali veikti kaip tre\u010dioji \u0161alis. Tai rei\u0161kia, kad ji pati nustatys migracijos politikos taisykles. Tokiu atveju tikriausiai bus \u012fvesta tam tikra ta\u0161k\u0173 sistema, kaip Australijoje, ir darbuotojai i\u0161 u\u017esienio bus \u012fdarbinami pirmumo tvarka pagal geb\u0117jimus. Labiausiai tik\u0117tina alternatyva – Europos S\u0105jungos pilie\u010diai gal\u0117s be didesni\u0173 problem\u0173 toliau dirbti Did\u017eiojoje Britanijoje, ta\u010diau negal\u0117s gauti, pavyzd\u017eiui, socialini\u0173 i\u0161mok\u0173. Manoma, kad pasiprie\u0161inimas migrantams \u0161ioje \u0161alyje buvo labiau pagr\u012fstas nenoru mok\u0117ti \u0161ias i\u0161mokas. Kita vertus, yra darb\u0173, kuri\u0173 britai nenori dirbti, tod\u0117l jiems ir toliau reik\u0117s darbo j\u0117gos i\u0161 u\u017esienio. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
BVP NUOSTOLIAI D\u0116L „NEPREKYBAI”<\/strong> (\u0161altinis: Funcas<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

„Brexit” kelia netikrum\u0105 investuotojams ir daro \u012ftak\u0105 ekonomikos augimui, nes atideda arba net perkelia investicij\u0173 ir pl\u0117tros sprendimus \u012f kit\u0105 geografij\u0105. „Brexit” poveikis Europai ir jos ekonomikos augimui yra akivaizd\u017eiai neigiamas.” <\/p>

– „DSS Po\u0161tov\u00e1 banka” direktori\u0173 valdybos narys ir investicij\u0173 valdymo vadovas<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s i\u0161stojimas i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos atrodo nei\u0161vengiamas, tod\u0117l m\u016bs\u0173 u\u017eduotis bus visapusi\u0161kai pasinaudoti \u0161ia galimybe ir stengtis kuo labiau padidinti teigiam\u0105 poveik\u012f ekonomikai. Kartu reik\u0117s kuo labiau suma\u017einti Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s i\u0161stojimo i\u0161 Europos bendrijos neigiamas pasekmes. Taigi, nor\u0117damos i\u0161likti konkurencingos, Did\u017eiosios Britanijos \u012fmon\u0117s bus priverstos perskirstyti gamyb\u0105 ir veikl\u0105. Tokiu b\u016bdu Did\u017eiosios Britanijos \u012fmon\u0117s bus labai suinteresuotos steigti biurus Europoje. I\u0161stojus i\u0161 S\u0105jungos, migracijos parametrai i\u0161liks nepakit\u0119, o reguliavimo lankstumas Jungtin\u0117je Karalyst\u0117je nepadid\u0117s. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Po „Brexito”, kurio Europos S\u0105jungoje laukiame jau antrus metus, \u012fvyks dideli\u0173 poky\u010di\u0173 bendros prekybos, \u017emoni\u0173, preki\u0173 ir paslaug\u0173 jud\u0117jimo srityje. Ar „Brexit” bus naudingas darbdaviams? Kokios yra Did\u017eiosios Britanijos i\u0161stojimo i\u0161 Europos S\u0105jungos neigiamos ir teigiamos pus\u0117s?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":24282,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[256,258],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\nKaip "Brexit" paveiks Europos S\u0105jungos darbo rink\u0105? - At\u0117n\u0173 tinklara\u0161tis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Po "Brexit" \u012fvyks dideli\u0173 poky\u010di\u0173, susijusi\u0173 su bendra prekyba, \u017emoni\u0173, preki\u0173 ir paslaug\u0173 jud\u0117jimu. 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