{"id":39399,"date":"2019-11-13T08:01:25","date_gmt":"2019-11-13T07:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/a-ndikon-kurba-demografike-ne-fuqine-punetore\/"},"modified":"2022-08-30T12:46:34","modified_gmt":"2022-08-30T10:46:34","slug":"a-ndikon-kurba-demografike-ne-fuqine-punetore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/sq\/a-ndikon-kurba-demografike-ne-fuqine-punetore\/","title":{"rendered":"A ndikon kurba demografike n\u00eb fuqin\u00eb pun\u00ebtore?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Nj\u00eb nga problemet m\u00eb serioze, por jo aq t\u00eb adresuara n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb popullore, sot \u00ebsht\u00eb plakja e popullsis\u00eb. Brenda Bashkimit Europian regjistrohen tregues problematik\u00eb p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket natalitetit, gj\u00eb q\u00eb shtron pyetjen p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjith\u00ebse Bashkimi Evropian po zgjerohet duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb shtete t\u00eb reja an\u00ebtare dhe pasuria e qytetar\u00ebve t\u00eb tij po rritet, ai duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me k\u00ebt\u00eb problem. Gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb pak f\u00ebmij\u00eb po lindin, duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar tregun e pun\u00ebs, sistemin e kujdesit sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor dhe sistemin e pensioneve. Raportet demografike paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb se popullsia e Evrop\u00ebs po shuhet ngadal\u00eb. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, sondazhet tregojn\u00eb se evropian\u00ebt do t\u00eb mir\u00ebprisnin m\u00eb shum\u00eb pasardh\u00ebs. Megjithat\u00eb, vet\u00ebm me kusht q\u00eb ato t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb mjaftueshme ekonomikisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n

A do t\u00eb jemi d\u00ebshmitar\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb krize demografike?<\/h2>\n\n

\u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb supozim i madh se n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme do t\u00eb jemi d\u00ebshmitar\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb krize demografike t\u00eb paprecedent\u00eb. Si pasoj\u00eb e nivelit t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb lindjeve, largimit t\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve jasht\u00eb vendit, rritjes s\u00eb jet\u00ebgjat\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe mbylljes ndaj t\u00eb huajve, ne mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhemi nj\u00eb nga shoq\u00ebrit\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb plakura n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian. Plakja e popullsis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb sigurisht nj\u00eb trend q\u00eb prek t\u00eb gjitha vendet e zhvilluara t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, ndaj nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm problemi yn\u00eb. P\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket parashikimeve demografike, Evropa Per\u00ebndimore dhe Veriore jan\u00eb duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb t\u00eb mira se vendet n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Jugore dhe Lindore. Prandaj, zgjidhja e kriz\u00ebs demografike duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb masa n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e ekonomis\u00eb, pun\u00ebsimit dhe familjes. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
ZHVILLIMI I VLER\u00cbSUAR I POPULLSIS\u00cb<\/strong> (burimi: Eurostat<\/a> )<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Nd\u00ebrsa vendet si Norvegjia, Danimarka dhe Irlanda do t\u00eb rriten n\u00eb popullsi, Finlanda do t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb nj\u00eb popullsi af\u00ebrsisht t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme. Pas vitit 2030, Sllovakia p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb zhdukje graduale dhe, n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, nj\u00eb plakje m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb sesa vendet e Evrop\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore dhe Veriore. Sot ne jemi ende nd\u00ebr kombet m\u00eb t\u00eb rinj evropian\u00eb, por po plakemi m\u00eb shpejt se t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt. Deri n\u00eb vitin 2060, ne duhet t\u00eb jemi nd\u00ebr kombet m\u00eb t\u00eb plakur n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur t\u00eb financuar sistemin sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor dhe pensional. Plakja nuk do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb gradualisht, por shum\u00eb dinamike. Si rezultat, ne do t\u00eb b\u00ebhemi nj\u00eb nga popullsit\u00eb me plakjen m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"
INDEKSI I VAR\u00cbSIS\u00cb M\u00cb T\u00cb VJET\u00cbR<\/strong> (burimi: Eurostat<\/a> )<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Efekti i lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb ul\u00ebt do t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb gradualisht plakjen e popullsis\u00eb<\/h2>\n\n

Zhvillimet demografike n\u00eb vendet evropiane jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb lejuar nj\u00eb parashikim t\u00eb vet\u00ebm t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb produktivitetit n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn. Nuk ka asnj\u00eb vend q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm n\u00eb an\u00ebn pozitive, por mund t\u00eb shihen disa vler\u00ebsime t\u00eb trendit. \u201cFituesit\u201d demografik\u00eb jan\u00eb vendet e veriut, por edhe Gjermania, ku pesha e 30-49-vje\u00e7ar\u00ebve do t\u00eb rritet n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e ardhshme. Nj\u00eb tendenc\u00eb e ngjashme pritet t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb n\u00eb Danimark\u00eb, Belgjik\u00eb, Holand\u00eb dhe Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar. Rritja e produktivitetit t\u00eb pun\u00ebs n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Qendrore dhe Lindore mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb edhe p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb uljes s\u00eb numrit t\u00eb punonj\u00ebsve t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 30-49 vje\u00e7 p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb migrimit t\u00eb tyre t\u00eb vazhduesh\u00ebm drejt Per\u00ebndimit. Ai do t\u00eb ndihet kryesisht nga \u00c7ekia dhe Hungaria. Sllovakia duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb pak e prekur, por n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e ardhshme do t\u00eb ndihet edhe r\u00ebnia e pun\u00ebtor\u00ebve. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
RRITJE\/ULJE N\u00cb<\/strong> PUN\u00cbTAR\u00cbT E MOSHAVE 30-49 VJE\u00c7 (burimi: Eulerhermes<\/a> )<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb disa arsye p\u00ebr parashikime t\u00eb pafavorshme. Shkalla e lindjeve n\u00eb Sllovaki \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se n\u00eb vendet e Evrop\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore dhe Veriore. Grat\u00eb jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrkushtuara p\u00ebr karrier\u00ebn e tyre, po b\u00ebhen m\u00eb pak martesa dhe numri i divorceve po rritet. K\u00ebsaj duhet t’i shtohen modele t\u00eb reja t\u00eb bashk\u00ebjetes\u00ebs, t\u00eb cilave u k\u00ebshillojm\u00eb prind\u00ebrit e vet\u00ebm ose sindikatat homoseksuale. Shum\u00eb t\u00eb rinj shkojn\u00eb n\u00eb vende m\u00eb t\u00eb pasura p\u00ebr arsimim dhe mund\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb mira karriere. Paradoksi mbetet se ne jemi mjaft t\u00eb mbyllur p\u00ebr emigrant\u00ebt nga vendet e tjera dhe ndoshta nuk jemi ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00ebrheq\u00ebs p\u00ebr ta. Pra nuk jemi i vetmi shtet q\u00eb luftojm\u00eb, ose do t\u00eb luftoj\u00eb me r\u00ebnien e njer\u00ebzve.<\/p>\n\n

“Shterja natyrale \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb e zakonshme n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb sesa n\u00eb SHBA p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb nj\u00eb popullsie m\u00eb t\u00eb vjet\u00ebr, niveleve m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb lindjeve dhe m\u00eb pak grave n\u00eb mosh\u00eb t\u00eb lindjes s\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00ebve. Shkat\u00ebrrimi natyror \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim i madh politik sepse d\u00ebmton q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb demografike t\u00eb nj\u00eb rajoni, duke reduktuar q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e tij ekonomike dhe konkurrenc\u00ebs\u201d. <\/p>

– demografi Dudley Poston me koleg\u00ebt nga Universiteti A&M i Teksasit <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

Migrimi si zgjidhje p\u00ebr nj\u00eb problem<\/h2>\n\n

N\u00ebse popullsia plaket, do t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb pak aktivitete pune dhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb pensionist\u00eb. Mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb edhe nj\u00eb situat\u00eb ku popullsia do t\u00eb rritet, por niveli ekonomik nuk do t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb kushte p\u00ebr nj\u00eb jet\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebnaqshme. Megjithat\u00eb, pun\u00ebtor\u00ebt e huaj mund t\u00eb ndihmojn\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen e ekonomis\u00eb. Ata jan\u00eb fleksib\u00ebl dhe shkojn\u00eb n\u00eb ata sektor\u00eb profesional ku ka munges\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
GRAFIA M\u00cb IDEAL E KORB\u00cbS DEMOGRAFIKE<\/strong> (burimi: Kombet e Bashkuara<\/a> )<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

“Vendet e Bashkimit Evropian q\u00eb mb\u00ebshtesin politik\u00ebn e familjes dhe harmonizojn\u00eb jet\u00ebn e pun\u00ebs dhe familjes kan\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb lindjeve. Emigracioni jep nj\u00eb kontribut t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb rinovimin dhe forcimin e popullsis\u00eb aktive n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ndryshme ekspertize.”<\/p>

– sociologu Fran\u00e7ois H\u00e9ran <\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n

Nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi yn\u00eb, hapja e kufijve ndaj vendeve t\u00eb treta \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga m\u00ebnyrat p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur kriz\u00ebn demografike. N\u00ebse shkalla e lindjeve, migrimit ose vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb nuk rritet rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht, presioni mbi sistemin e pensioneve do t\u00eb rritet me shpejt\u00ebsi. Migrimi mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb kusht ky\u00e7 p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur plakjen e popullsis\u00eb dhe r\u00ebnien e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore. Nuk do t\u00eb ekzistonte rreziku i mbingarkes\u00ebs s\u00eb sistemeve t\u00eb pensioneve pothuajse n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha vendet e Bashkimit Evropian. Ne do t\u00eb shohim ndikime pozitive vet\u00ebm kur kompania t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb menaxhoj\u00eb dhe konsolidoj\u00eb migrimin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nj\u00eb nga problemet m\u00eb serioze, por jo aq t\u00eb adresuara n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb popullore, sot \u00ebsht\u00eb plakja e popullsis\u00eb. Brenda Bashkimit Europian regjistrohen tregues problematik\u00eb p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket natalitetit, gj\u00eb q\u00eb shtron pyetjen p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":33915,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[454,455,456],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\nA ndikon kurba demografike n\u00eb fuqin\u00eb pun\u00ebtore? - Blogu Atena<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ndikimet sociale t\u00eb zhvillimit t\u00eb pritsh\u00ebm t\u00eb struktur\u00ebs moshore t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb do t\u00eb jen\u00eb serioze n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme. 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