{"id":56113,"date":"2020-05-14T13:22:59","date_gmt":"2020-05-14T11:22:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/ar-den-ekonomiska-krisen-annu-en-svart-svan\/"},"modified":"2022-09-08T14:30:38","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T12:30:38","slug":"ar-den-ekonomiska-krisen-annu-en-svart-svan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/sv\/ar-den-ekonomiska-krisen-annu-en-svart-svan\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c4r den ekonomiska krisen \u00e4nnu en svart svan?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

En ov\u00e4ntad h\u00e4ndelse, men med en dramatisk inverkan p\u00e5 v\u00e4rlden. Ibland flyger den in och ut, men den l\u00e4mnar en avtryckare efter sig. Den svarta svanen \u00e4r tillbaka. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det var inte annorlunda 2008 n\u00e4r det globala finansiella systemet drabbades h\u00e5rt. Eller 2011, n\u00e4r Europa skakades av skuldkrisen. V\u00e4rlden har \u00e4nnu inte \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n konsekvenserna av kriserna f\u00f6r tio \u00e5r sedan, vilket framg\u00e5r av nollr\u00e4ntorna och fortsatta kvantitativa l\u00e4ttnader. Medan effekterna av den ursprungliga systemf\u00f6rst\u00f6ringen fortfarande kvarst\u00e5r har den svarta svanen \u00e5terigen flugit \u00f6ver v\u00e4rlden. Den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen med \u00e4nnu st\u00f6rre potentiella konsekvenser.<\/p>\n\n

L\u00e4nderna k\u00e4mpar mot en kris<\/h2>\n\n

Epidemiologiska och ekonomiska kriser har \u00e5tminstone en sak gemensamt: de kan stoppas. M\u00e5nga l\u00e4nder i Asien har visat hur man kan motverka spridningen av det elakartade viruset och n\u00e4stan helt eliminera det. Det \u00e4r en sv\u00e5r kamp f\u00f6r chefer och statsm\u00e4n, men det \u00e4r m\u00f6jligt.<\/p>\n\n

S\u00e5 l\u00e4nge som snabba och effektiva \u00e5tg\u00e4rder vidtas och spridningen av viruset stoppas i det f\u00f6rsta skedet, vilket till exempel har skett i Singapore, \u00e4r de ekonomiska konsekvenserna minimala. Men om ett utbrott blir en epidemi \u00e4r stegen mycket mer komplicerade och sm\u00e4rtsamma. Sydkorea har ocks\u00e5 visat att en s\u00e5dan situation kan hanteras. <\/p>\n\n

Europeiskt misslyckande<\/h2>\n\n

Europa har hamnat l\u00e5ngt efter n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller f\u00f6rebyggande och planering, testning av potentiellt smittade personer samt insamling och utv\u00e4rdering av data. Men ocks\u00e5 i individernas inst\u00e4llning till spridningen av epidemin. Det \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r ingen \u00f6verraskning f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga att antalet smittade \u00f6kar med tusentals per dag i m\u00e5nga europeiska l\u00e4nder. Och farh\u00e5gorna om att de kommer att \u00f6verskrida niv\u00e5n fr\u00e5n Kina har bekr\u00e4ftats. <\/p>\n\n

Nedg\u00e5ngen i den ekonomiska produktionen i Wuhan-omr\u00e5det har visat hur stor inverkan karant\u00e4nen kan ha p\u00e5 ett lands ekonomi. Den kinesiska ekonomins nedg\u00e5ng under det f\u00f6rsta kvartalet var den st\u00f6rsta sedan m\u00e4tningen inleddes. Detta har ocks\u00e5 gett upphov till stor oro f\u00f6r den europeiska ekonomins h\u00e4lsa eftersom epidemin forts\u00e4tter att v\u00e4xa. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
REAKTIONEN P\u00c5 REALL\u00d6NERNA I EUROPA EFTER PANDEMIEN (k\u00e4lla: FORBES<\/a>)<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Situationen i Europa skiljer sig i grunden fr\u00e5n den i Asien. I den asiatiska v\u00e4rderingsordningen var familjen f\u00f6rst och staten d\u00e4refter; i Europa var det individen sj\u00e4lv. Det visar sig att det inte bara \u00e4r Europas of\u00f6rbereddhet inf\u00f6r epidemin, utan i synnerhet den v\u00e4sterl\u00e4ndska individualismen, som \u00e4r det st\u00f6rsta hotet mot spridningen av epidemin p\u00e5 den gamla kontinenten.<\/p>\n\n

I Storbritannien v\u00e4grade upp till en fj\u00e4rdedel av befolkningen att \u00e4ndra sina vanor p\u00e5 grund av coronavirus. Den brittiska regeringen har inte ens p\u00e5 grundval av sin st\u00e5ndpunkt vidtagit n\u00e5gra mer drastiska \u00e5tg\u00e4rder, som att st\u00e4lla in massaktioner eller st\u00e4nga skolor. <\/p>\n\n

Slutet p\u00e5 den nuvarande globaliseringens era? <\/h2>\n\n

Coronaviruset ledde till att de reella r\u00e4ntorna sj\u00f6nk med 1,5 % j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med det f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntade scenariot utan pandemi. M\u00e5nga europeiska pandemier har ocks\u00e5 lett till en nedg\u00e5ng i handeln. Medan starkare handelsf\u00f6rbindelser f\u00f6re krisen ledde till h\u00f6gre levnadsstandard. Varje r\u00e4dsla f\u00f6r h\u00e4lsan ledde till en paus. I och med att den spanska influensan upph\u00f6rde tog den f\u00f6rsta epoken av industriell globalisering slut, som redan hade d\u00e4mpats av f\u00f6rsta v\u00e4rldskrigets efterdyningar. Koronakrisen kan s\u00e5ledes blockera den f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningskedja fr\u00e5n Kina som byggts upp under de senaste tv\u00e5 decennierna. <\/p>\n\n

\"\"
EUROPEISKA R\u00c4KENSKAPSR\u00c5DETS REPLIK EFTER PANDEMIA (k\u00e4lla: FORBES<\/a>)<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n

Vi kan s\u00e4ga att pandemier kommer att driva upp l\u00f6nerna, men de kommer att ge besvikelser i fr\u00e5ga om realavkastning. Till skillnad fr\u00e5n andra katastrofer, som krig eller naturkatastrofer, finns det ingen kraftig \u00f6kning av efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 kapital efter pandemier, vilket leder till en l\u00e5ngvarig period med reala r\u00e4ntor p\u00e5 en blygsam niv\u00e5. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En ov\u00e4ntad h\u00e4ndelse, men med en dramatisk inverkan p\u00e5 v\u00e4rlden. Ibland flyger den in och ut, men den l\u00e4mnar en avtryckare efter sig. Den svarta svanen \u00e4r tillbaka.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":54523,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[825,829],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\n\u00c4r den ekonomiska krisen \u00e4nnu en svart svan? - Atena blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/sv\/ar-den-ekonomiska-krisen-annu-en-svart-svan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c4r den ekonomiska krisen \u00e4nnu en svart svan? - Atena blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En ov\u00e4ntad h\u00e4ndelse, men med en dramatisk inverkan p\u00e5 v\u00e4rlden. 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