{"id":14771,"date":"2020-03-31T09:42:25","date_gmt":"2020-03-31T07:42:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/?p=14771"},"modified":"2020-03-31T09:47:29","modified_gmt":"2020-03-31T07:47:29","slug":"ako-vyrazne-sa-zmeni-ekonomika-pocas-pandemie-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/ako-vyrazne-sa-zmeni-ekonomika-pocas-pandemie-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Ako v\u00fdrazne sa zmen\u00ed ekonomika po\u010das pand\u00e9mie COVID-19?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

E\u0161te koncom minul\u00e9ho roka sa analytici domnievali, \u017ee akcie rozvojov\u00fdch trhov bud\u00fa \u0165a\u017ei\u0165 z urovnania obchodn\u00fdch sporov a z impulzov \u010d\u00ednskej monet\u00e1rnej politiky a bud\u00fa silno r\u00e1s\u0165. Eur\u00f3pske akcie zas mali benefitova\u0165 z lep\u0161ej \u010ditate\u013enosti brexitu a n\u00e1dej\u00ed \u201ezelenej\u201c hospod\u00e1rskej politiky. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Koronav\u00edrus prin\u00e1\u0161a z h\u013eadiska ekonomickej aktivity nov\u00e9 pr\u00edpady<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Ako obvykle, aj t\u00e1to pand\u00e9mia dopad\u00e1 na jej agreg\u00e1tnu ponuku. Je teda n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 sa s jej efektami vysporiada\u0165 pomocou \u0161tandardn\u00fdch makroekonomick\u00fdch n\u00e1strojov. Pand\u00e9mia choroby COVID-19 sp\u00f4sob\u00ed tento rok recesiu svetovej ekonomiky, ktor\u00e1 by mohla by\u0165 hor\u0161ia ne\u017e finan\u010dn\u00e1 kr\u00edza\u00a0v\u00a0rokoch 2008 a 2009.\u00a0Finan\u010dn\u00e9 trhy teraz zapo\u010d\u00edtavaj\u00fa do cien pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee v\u00edrus bude ma\u0165 ekonomick\u00e9 dopady aj po skon\u010den\u00ed prv\u00e9ho \u0161tvr\u0165roka 2020. Tie\u017e budeme vidie\u0165 lok\u00e1lne ohnisk\u00e1 infekcie podobn\u00e9 t\u00fdm v\u00a0Taliansku a\u00a0\u0160panielsku aj v ostatn\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1toch, \u010do do\u010dasne naru\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 vz\u0165ahy. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 sa rokovania oh\u013eadom Brexitu kv\u00f4li koronav\u00edrusu bud\u00fa musie\u0165 odlo\u017ei\u0165, \u010do tie\u017e ist\u00fdm sp\u00f4sobom na\u0161trb\u00ed ekonomiku. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
PO\u010cET NAKAZEN\u00ddCH (zdroj: GLOBAL CAPITAL<\/a>)<\/strong> <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

V\u00edrus najprv postihol \u010c\u00ednu, ktor\u00e1 vo svetovej ekonomike predstavuje obdobu zem\u00ed Organiz\u00e1cie kraj\u00edn vyv\u00e1\u017eaj\u00facich ropu (OPEC) vo v\u00fdrobnom sektore. V\u00fdrobcovia po celom svete sa spoliehaj\u00fa na komponenty a diely vyroben\u00e9 v \u010c\u00edne. Teraz sa s\u00edce zd\u00e1, \u017ee epid\u00e9mia v tejto krajine po\u013eavuje, ale \u010d\u00ednska v\u00fdroba sa e\u0161te nevr\u00e1tila na svoju p\u00f4vodn\u00fa \u00farove\u0148. V\u00edrus postihol aj \u010fal\u0161ie \u00e1zijsk\u00e9 krajiny (Japonsko, K\u00f3reu, Singapur), ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa \u00fazko zapojen\u00e9 do glob\u00e1lnych v\u00fdrobn\u00fdch re\u0165azcov. V posledn\u00fdch d\u0148och sa zna\u010dne zvy\u0161uje po\u010det novo nakazen\u00fdch v USA a podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj maj\u00fa aj Nemecko \u010di Franc\u00fazsko. Nehovor\u00edme teda u\u017e iba o probl\u00e9me \u010c\u00edny. Do popredia vstupuje predov\u0161etk\u00fdm Taliansko a \u0160panielsko a ostatn\u00e9 eur\u00f3pske krajiny. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pom\u00f4\u017ee n\u00e1m Eur\u00f3pska centr\u00e1lna banka<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Organiz\u00e1cia pre hospod\u00e1rsku spolupr\u00e1cu a rozvoj (OECD) odhaduje, \u017ee ak by bola pand\u00e9mia obmedzen\u00e1 na \u010c\u00ednu a nieko\u013eko \u010fal\u0161\u00edch kraj\u00edn, rast svetov\u00e9ho produktu v tomto roku klesne asi o 0,5%. Ak sa ale pand\u00e9mia bude \u0161\u00edri\u0165 po celej severnej hemisf\u00e9re, dopad by mohol predstavova\u0165 a\u017e 1,5% z \u010doho v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina p\u00f4jde na agreg\u00e1tnu ponuku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

„Rada guvern\u00e9rov urob\u00ed v r\u00e1mci svojho mand\u00e1tu v\u0161etko, \u010do je potrebn\u00e9. V pr\u00edpade potreby sa program n\u00e1kupu m\u00f4\u017ee e\u0161te zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165. Sme pripraven\u00ed zmierni\u0165 niektor\u00e9 obmedzenia v oblasti n\u00e1kupov dlhopisov, \u010do by malo pom\u00f4c\u0165 krajin\u00e1m ako Taliansko, kde tieto v\u00fdnosy zaznamenali v d\u00f4sledku roz\u0161\u00edrenia sa nov\u00e9ho v\u00edrusu prudk\u00fd rast.“ <\/p>

– Eur\u00f3pska centr\u00e1lna banka<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Najv\u00fdznamnej\u0161ie obmedzenia prijal pochopite\u013ene R\u00edm, kde po\u010dty obet\u00ed ochorenia boli zatia\u013e ka\u017ed\u00fdm d\u0148om v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie ako v\u00a0predch\u00e1dzaj\u00faci de\u0148. Zatvoren\u00e9 s\u00fa \u0161koly, in\u0161tit\u00facie a\u00a0aj v\u0161etky obchody okrem potrav\u00edn, lek\u00e1rn\u00ed a\u00a0vybran\u00fdch drog\u00e9ri\u00ed. Podobn\u00e9 opatrenia zaviedli postupne aj ostatn\u00e9 eur\u00f3pske \u0161t\u00e1ty. Rovnako plat\u00ed aj z\u00e1kaz cestovania zo Schengensk\u00e9ho priestoru do Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov americk\u00fdch. Miera \u00famrtnosti tie\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Taliansko, \u0160panielsko a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1\u013eovstvo maj\u00fa ove\u013ea viac pr\u00edpadov, ako dok\u00e1zali potvrdi\u0165 a nahl\u00e1si\u0165. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
MIERA \u00daMRTNOSTI (zdroj: GLOBAL CAPITAL<\/a>)<\/strong> <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Taliansko, \u0160panielsko a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1\u013eovstvo maj\u00fa doteraz ove\u013ea vy\u0161\u0161iu mieru \u00famrtnosti, \u010do m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 d\u00f4sledkom nedostato\u010dn\u00e9ho testovania. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 to m\u00f4\u017ee odr\u00e1\u017ea\u0165 kombin\u00e1ciu pre\u0165a\u017een\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov zdravotnej starostlivosti a nedostato\u010dn\u00e9 hl\u00e1senie pr\u00edpadov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dalohou fi\u0161k\u00e1lnej politiky bude stimulova\u0165 dopyt, tak ako to priamymi finan\u010dn\u00fdmi injekciami u\u017e rob\u00ed Hongkong. Monet\u00e1rna politika by sa zas mala sna\u017ei\u0165 pred\u00eds\u0165 s\u0165a\u017eeniu finan\u010dn\u00fdch podmienok pre firmy. Neskor\u00e1 reakcia centr\u00e1lnych b\u00e1nk m\u00f4\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 riziko defl\u00e1cie, \u010do je najm\u00e4 v rozvojovom svete ve\u013emi citliv\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

E\u0161te koncom minul\u00e9ho roka sa analytici domnievali, \u017ee akcie rozvojov\u00fdch trhov bud\u00fa \u0165a\u017ei\u0165 z urovnania obchodn\u00fdch sporov a z impulzov \u010d\u00ednskej monet\u00e1rnej politiky a bud\u00fa silno r\u00e1s\u0165. Eur\u00f3pske akcie zas mali benefitova\u0165 z lep\u0161ej \u010ditate\u013enosti brexitu a n\u00e1dej\u00ed \u201ezelenej\u201c hospod\u00e1rskej politiky.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":14825,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,76],"tags":[],"acf":{"facebookpost":"","popis_socialneho_obrazku":""},"yoast_head":"\nAko v\u00fdrazne sa zmen\u00ed ekonomika po\u010das pand\u00e9mie COVID-19? - Atena blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atena.sk\/blog\/ako-vyrazne-sa-zmeni-ekonomika-pocas-pandemie-covid-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sk_SK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ako v\u00fdrazne sa zmen\u00ed ekonomika po\u010das pand\u00e9mie COVID-19? - Atena blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"E\u0161te koncom minul\u00e9ho roka sa analytici domnievali, \u017ee akcie rozvojov\u00fdch trhov bud\u00fa \u0165a\u017ei\u0165 z urovnania obchodn\u00fdch sporov a z impulzov \u010d\u00ednskej monet\u00e1rnej politiky a bud\u00fa silno r\u00e1s\u0165. 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